EconomyFacebook ChecksPolitics

Murtala’s claim of negative growth in Ghana’s agric sector, false

Claim: A former Deputy Trade Minister, Murtala Muhammed, says Ghana’s agriculture sector is “growing negatively” because of the current regime’s poor management.

Verdict: False! Data published by the Ghana Statistical Service on June 21, 2023, showed the country’s agriculture sector grew by 4.8% in the year’s first quarter. The report further noted that the sector expanded by 1.3% in the first quarter of 2023 than in the fourth quarter of 2022.

Full Text

The Ghanaian Government announced a new cocoa price to farmers for the 2023/2024 season to discourage the smuggling of beans to the neighbouring Ivory Coast. See here.

According to President Nana Akufo-Addo, Ghanaian farmers will now receive the sum of GHS20,943, an equivalent of $1,837 per tonne, starting from Sept. 2023.

The new figure represents over a 63% increment from last year’s price, which was GHS12,800.

See media reports about the increment here, here, here, here, and here.

A section of Ghanaian farmers have expressed their excitement about the increase in state-guaranteed cocoa prices. See here and here.

However, Mr Muhammed says the governing New Patriotic Party (NPP) deserves no praise for the hike in the cocoa price.

The former Deputy Trade Minister claims the West African country’s agriculture sector is “growing in the negative” because of the current regime’s poor handling of the sector.

“We haven’t had an incident in this country where cocoa farmers will sell their cocoa farms for ‘galamsey.’ We all saw the video – it tells you how terribly you guys run the cocoa sector and the entirety of the agric sector, which is growing in the negative,” Mr Muhammed told Accra-based TV3.

See here for the video posted on the YouTube channel of the media organisation, starting from minutes 11:11.

DUBAWA decided to probe the claim as part of its campaign against disinformation and misinformation in West Africa.

Verification

Data published by the Ghana Statistical Service on June 21, 2023, showed Ghana’s agriculture sector grew by  4.8% in the year’s first quarter.

See page 3, paragraph 6 of the report here.

The first quarter of 2023 spanned January to March.

A screenshot of the year-on-year growth rate of Ghana’s agricultural sector in the first quarter of 2023

The Quarterly Gross Domestic Product (QGDP) for the First Quarter of 2023 revealed the agriculture sector expanded by 1.3% in the first quarter of 2023 compared to 1.0% recorded in the fourth quarter of 2022.

See paragraph 5 of page 6 of the report here.

The report further showed that except for the livestock sub-sector, which decreased by 0.1%, the crops and cocoa sub-sector improved “slightly, growing at 1.4% compared to 1.0% in the fourth quarter of 2022.”

Also, see page 6, paragraph 5 of the report here.

However, the agriculture sector’s quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted growth rate in the first quarter of 2023 was 1.3%.

See pages 7 and 8 of the report here.

A screenshot of the quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted growth rate of Ghana’s agricultural sector in the first quarter of 2023

Under the adjusted growth rate of the agriculture sector in the first quarter of 2023, the report revealed that the fishing sub-sector contracted at 0.7%.

Also, see pages 7 and 8 of the report here.

From the GSS report, the year-on-year growth rate of the agriculture sector in the first quarter of 2023 is 4.8%, whilst the industry’s quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted growth rate is 1.3%.

It is the industry sector, which contracted at a 3.2% growth rate. See page 3,  paragraph 6 of the report here.

It is, therefore, not true that Ghana’s agriculture sector is growing negatively, as claimed by the Member of Parliament for Tamale Central Constituency.

Conclusion

Data published by the Ghana Statistical Service on June 21, 2023, showed the country’s agriculture sector grew by 4.8% in the year’s first quarter. The report further noted that the industry expanded by 1.3% in the first quarter of 2023 than it did in 2022 fourth quarter.

Show More

Related Articles

Make a comment

Back to top button