NPP

  • WhatsApp post of GH¢500 campaign fund donation by Bawumia is a hoax   accompanied by a phishing link.

    Claim: New Patriotic Party (NPP) flagbearer Mahamudu Bawumia is giving out an instant cash prize from his campaign fund. (Source: Social Media, WhatsApp)

    Fig 1 – Screenshot of the viral WhatsApp message

    Verdict: Hoax

    Verification

    An initial attempt to access the link provided in the message triggered malware advice, indicating that the

    site is malicious and that access to it could be risky.

    Fig 2 – Screenshot of the website safety warning after clicking the link

    When the Coalition ran a check on the website URL through the website credibility tool Virus Total, 10 security vendors had flagged the URL as phishing, malware and malicious.

    Fig 3 – Virus Total analysis of the security threats posed by the phishing link
  • False! Dollar equivalent of ₵559 NSS 2016 allowance, not $143.33

    Claim: A flyer on social media claiming  that the dollar equivalent of the National Service Scheme (NSS) allowance of ₵559 in 2016 and ₵715 in 2024 were $143.33 and $42.29, respectively.

    Verdict: False

    Verification

    The Cedi traded at ₵4.275 to the dollar as of December 31, 2016, when the NSS monthly allowance was ₵559. Therefore, the dollar equivalent of ₵559 was $130.760 after dividing the monthly NSS allowance by ₵4.275, not $143.33. Also, the NSS allowance as of December 5, 2024, is ₵715 after it increased in July 2023. The Bank of Ghana’s exchange rate as of December 5, 2024, is $1 to  ₵14.9125. With the dollar trading at ₵14.9125, the dollar equivalent of ₵715 is $47.9463, not $42.29 as claimed.

  • Viral Mahama election rigging audio suspicious

    Claim: An X user, @edemgilbert, has shared an audio in which he accuses John Mahama, the 2024 NDC flagbearer, of plotting with Electoral Commission officials to rig the election in the Ashanti region. (Source: Dr. Gilbert Edem (X.com/) (archived)

    Verdict: False

    Verification

    There is no evidence that the voices in the audio are those of John Mahama and an Electoral Commission official in the Ashanti Region. A content analysis conducted on the audio revealed some discrepancies. In the audio, the alleged EC official was asked if he was the “Leading Returning Officer,” he responded that he was the group leader. The Electoral Commission’s organisational structure does not have a role called Leading Returning Officer. Regulation 2 of the Public Elections Regulation, 2020 (C.I. 127) provides that the Commission shall appoint Returning Officers in the various constituencies for Parliamentary elections. Also, in the audio, the alleged EC officer was asked if he had initiated the plan, and he responded “We are done with nine, and we are left with seven.” However, the Ashanti Region has 48 constituencies, not 16. Therefore, the region has 48 Returning officers. There is no evidence to support the allegations. 

  • Misleading! Men in Metro Mass buses at Benchema, not thugs from Burkina Faso 

    Claim: A social media user, @marcusadampah, shared a video showing men in two Metro Mass buses he alleged are “macho men” the NPP brought in from Burkina Faso. (Source: X (Formerly Twitter) @marcusadampah   (archived))

    Verdict: Misleading 

    Verification

    Our checks at the Metro Mass Transit Company showed that the two buses moved from Accra to Sefwi Asawinso in the Western North Region, not from Burkina Faso, as alleged. Reacting to the claim, the Police say their preliminary investigation revealed the men were recruited from different parts of Accra to “provide security at polling stations within some constituencies” in the region.  The Member of Parliament from Joaboso, Mintah Akandoh, who spoke to the Coalition, repeated the claim that the men were from Burkina Faso but did not give any further evidence of how he came by that information. 

  • President Akufo-Addo, Dr Bawumia and Kennedy Agyapong’s claim 5.7 million students have benefitted from Free SHS policy false

    Claim: Kennedy Agyapong has repeated the claim that 5.7 million people benefitted from Free SHS during the NPP’s final rally.

    Verdict: False

    Explanation

    According to the Ministry of Finance, the total beneficiaries of the Free SHS policy from 2017 to 2024 are 3,135,754. This figure is 2,564,246 lower than the 5.7 million President Akufo-Addo and  NPP forerunner Kennedy Agyapong mentioned.

    Year (Mid-Year Budget Statement)Academic YearTotal First-Year Enrolment
    20182017/2018 (Cohort 1)362,118
    20192018/2019 (Cohort 2)432,791
    20202019/2020 (Cohort 3)404,851
    20212020/2021 (Cohort 4)423,320
    20222021/2022 (Cohort 5)555,353
    20232022/2023 (Cohort 6)447,396
    20242023/2024 (Cohort 7)509,925
    Total Beneficiaries3,135,754
  • Day One: Ghana Fact-Checking Coalition combats disinformation ahead of December 7 elections

    With just three days to Ghana’s presidential and parliamentary elections, the Ghana Fact-Checking Coalition has launched a campaign to promote accurate information before, during, and after the December 7 polls.

    Led by three International Fact-Checking Network signatories—Dubawa, Ghana Facts, and Fact-Check Ghana—alongside media and civic partners, the coalition will provide fact-checked reports and analyses of potentially false or misleading claims shared by political actors and their allies.

    From 4–11 December, the coalition aims to empower citizens with verified information to counter disinformation. This report highlights claims fact-checked on day one.


    Claim 1 :
    An X user, @OfficialBigkay, claims an NDC supporter had cut off the thumb of an NPP member in Bolgatanga.

    Verdict: Misleading

    Verification

    Our findings reveal that a man’s thumb was cut off following an altercation with another person. However, the incident had nothing to do with the two leading political parties, NDC and NPP. Checks by the Ghana Fact-Checking Coalition indicate the incident occurred in Prestea in the Prestea-Huni Valley District of the Western region, not in Bolgatanga


    Claim 2: Multiple sources say the 2024 NDC flagbearer, John Mahama, won the Special voting exercise conducted on December 2, 2024. 

    Verdict: False

    Explanation

    The ballots cast during the Special Voting exercise have yet to be counted. The Electoral Commission has explained that the Special Voting ballots will be counted at the various Constituency Collation Centres after the polls close on December 7, 2024. Also, Regulation 23 of the Public Elections Regulations, 2020 (C.I. 127) provides that after the Special Voting exercise, the returning officer shall “ensure that the ballot boxes are kept in safe custody after the poll has closed.” 

    Claim 3: A viral TikTok audio allegedly features Mahamudu Bawumia, NPP presidential candidate, calling Ghanaians weak-minded and promising to deceive them into winning the upcoming election.

    Verdict: False.

    Explanation

    The Ghana Fact-checking Coalition compared the viral TikTok audio to five of Mr Bawumia’s past YouTube speeches and it revealed significant discrepancies. The audio features unnatural pitch variations and a polished accent that diverges from his typical speaking style, suggesting manipulation. The Hiya Deepfake Voice Detector tool also rated the audio as 80 per cent likely to be a deepfake. Experts from the Ghana Fact-checking Coalition concluded that the audio likely stems from voice-cloning technology, such as Resemble AI, which can generate synthetic speech from text scripts.

  • Did Bawumia call Ghanaians gullible and promise to deceive them into winning the election? 

    Claim: A viral TikTok audio allegedly features Mahamudu Bawumia, NPP presidential candidate, calling Ghanaians weak-minded and promising to deceive them into winning the upcoming election.

    Verdict: False.

    Explanation

    The Ghana Fact-checking Coalition compared the viral TikTok audio to five of Mr Bawumia’s past YouTube speeches and it revealed significant discrepancies. The audio features unnatural pitch variations and a polished accent that diverges from his typical speaking style, suggesting manipulation. The Hiya Deepfake Voice Detector tool also rated the audio as 80 per cent likely to be a deepfake. Experts from the Ghana Fact-checking Coalition concluded that the audio likely stems from voice-cloning technology, such as Resemble AI, which can generate synthetic speech from text scripts.

  • Thumb-cutting incident occurred in Prestea, not politically-motivated

    Claim: An X user, @OfficialBigkay, claims an NDC supporter had cut off the thumb of an NPP member in Bolgatanga.

    Verdict: Misleading

    Verification

    Our findings reveal that a man’s thumb was cut off following an altercation with another person. However, the incident had nothing to do with the two leading political parties, NDC and NPP. Checks by the Ghana Fact-Checking Coalition indicate the incident occurred in Prestea in the Prestea-Huni Valley District of the Western region, not in Bolgatanga

  • Candidate Profile: Dr Bawumia’s journey from Vice President to Presidential Contender in Ghana

    In just a few days, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, the presidential candidate for the New Patriotic Party, will face former President John Mahama and ten others in Ghana’s general election.

    For many political watchers, Bawumia’s ascension to the New Patriotic Party flagbearer position considered an Akan party is historic in many respects.

    The late Aliu Mahama, a Muslim from the Northern Region, who, like Bawumia, was a vice president under ex-president John Kufuor, lost miserably in a 17-person race in 2007. For many, it was a distant dream for a northern candidate to represent the New Patriotic Party as its flagbearer.

    Yet, in November 2023, delegates of the New Patriotic Party reposed a resounding confidence in the current vice president, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, by electing him as the flagbearer of the NPP.

    Dr Mahamudu Bawumia is undoubtedly a prominent figure in the country’s political landscape and one of the leading candidates in the upcoming presidential elections. With a background in economics and finance, Bawumia has positioned himself as a technocrat capable of steering Ghana towards economic stability and growth. His tenure as Vice President has been marked by significant economic initiatives, including implementing the digital addressing system and introducing mobile money interoperability.

    From political outsider to second-in-command, Mahamudu Bawumia could become Ghana’s first Muslim president after the December 7 election.

    For a vice president role that merely deputises the president when he is out of the jurisdiction, Dr Bawumia is considered the most active vice president in the Fourth Republic.

    DUBAWA has gathered the incumbent’s profile to provide a balanced view of Dr Bawumia, drawing on credible sources to support the analysis.

    Bawumia’s Credentials

    According to his website profile, Bawumia was born in Tamale on Oct. 7, 1963, and hails from the Northern Region of Ghana.

    He holds a Bachelor of Science Degree in Economics from Buckingham University, UK, a Master of Science Degree in Development Economics from Oxford University, UK, and a PhD in Economics from Simon Fraser University, Canada. He has held academic positions as Assistant Professor of Economics at Baylor University, USA; Visiting Scholar at the University of British Columbia, Canada; and Visiting Senior Research Associate at the Centre for the Study of African Economies, Oxford University, UK. He has also served as a Visiting Professor of Economic Governance at Central University, Ghana.

    As an Economist and Banker, Dr Bawumia has had a prestigious career, which includes serving as the Deputy Governor of Ghana’s Central Bank from 2006 to 2008 and the Resident Representative of the African Development Bank.

    Bawumia later became the Vice Presidential candidate for the New Patriotic Party (NPP) in the 2016 elections.

    Personality Traits

    Dr Bawumia is often described as analytical and pragmatic, traits that resonate with his background in economics. His ability to articulate complex economic issues in unintelligible language has earned him respect among supporters and critics. However, some observers have noted a tendency toward being overly technocratic and theoretical, which may alienate voters seeking a more personable connection.

    His strengths include a deep understanding of economic policy and a calm demeanour in public discourse. Conversely, critics argue that his technocratic approach can sometimes lack the emotional resonance necessary for political leadership, particularly in times of crisis.

    Values and Beliefs

    Bawumia’s political philosophy is rooted in the belief that economic growth and technological advancement are paramount for national development. He champions policies aimed at digital transformation, financial inclusion, and economic resilience.

    His moral compass is influenced by a strong sense of duty to his constituents and a belief in accountability and transparency in governance. This is reflected in his public statements on anti-corruption measures and good governance.

    Digitalisation

    Dr Mahamudu Bawumia has championed a “digitalisation mantra” as a cornerstone of his vision for national transformation. His commitment to these values is evident in his advocacy for the Ghana Digital Transformation Agenda, which seeks to leverage technology for improved governance and service delivery.

    Initiatives such as the Ghana Card, mobile money interoperability, and digitising public records underscore his commitment to creating a modern, tech-driven economy. While supporters hail these efforts as innovative steps toward development, critics argue their impact on addressing fundamental socioeconomic challenges remains limited.

    Communication Style

    Dr Bawumia’s communication style is characterised by clarity and precision. He is known for his ability to break down complex economic concepts into digestible information for the general public. His speeches often incorporate data and statistics, reinforcing his image as a knowledgeable candidate. For instance, during a recent address, he cited Afrobarometer data indicating that 65% of Ghanaians are concerned about the economy, effectively aligning his campaign message with public sentiment.

    Bawumia tends to be composed in media interactions, often employing a diplomatic tone even when faced with challenging questions. This approach has generally fostered a positive image, although some critics argue that he occasionally shies away from confrontation.

    Interpersonal Relationships

    Bawumia’s tenure as vice president involved working closely with various sectors, including finance, education, and technology, to implement policies aimed at national development. His colleagues perceive him as approachable, which enhances team dynamics within the NPP.

    His public engagements reveal a candidate who values interaction with constituents. Bawumia frequently participates in town hall meetings and community events, demonstrating a willingness to listen to ordinary Ghanaians’ concerns.

    Crisis Management

    Throughout his political career, Dr Bawumia has faced various challenges, particularly regarding Ghana’s economic difficulties exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. His responses have typically been methodical, focusing on data-driven solutions. For example, he played a crucial role in the government’s economic recovery plans, including fiscal measures to stabilise the economy.

    His adaptability has been evident in his campaign strategies, particularly as he navigates the complexities of Ghana’s political landscape.

    Public Perception

    Public perception of Dr Bawumia is largely positive, particularly among NPP supporters.

    Media portrayal has been mixed, with some outlets highlighting his accomplishments while others critique his perceived detachment from Ghanaians’ everyday struggles. This dichotomy reflects his broader challenges in appealing to a diverse electorate.

    What are the chances of Bawumia’s election as president?

    Although 12 hopefuls are vying for the presidency, only two have a realistic chance of winning. Since the return of multiparty politics in 1992, only candidates from the National Democratic Congress (NDC) or the New Patriotic Party (NPP) have won.

    The two front-runners are Mahamudu Bawumia (NPP) and John Mahama (NDC). The Oxford-educated economist, who has been Akufo-Addo’s vice-president for eight years, is 61 years old and has the potential to become the nation’s first Muslim president.

    The former deputy governor of the central bank gained a reputation for his financial know-how. However, that might also be his downfall, as he has been heavily criticised for overseeing Ghana’s descent into its worst economic crisis in decades.

    Main challenges

    The economy and the perception of corruption are some of the biggest challenges Dr Bawumia would contend with before the elections. Several surveys have pointed to economy and unemployment as key dominant issues voters will consider as they go into the polls. The dual toxic challenge of the global pandemic, coupled with the Russia and Ukraine war, has been an albatross on the neck of Bawumia and his government. Inflation increased to 52.8% in February 2022 but has taken a tumble to a little over 21% in 2024, which is still high. The cedi has also taken a major hit, affecting prices of goods and services across the country. While Dr Bawumia will pant under these bad economic indicators, his consolation will be the number of road infrastructure, education, and the Free SHS projects the government has executed.

    Conclusion

    With the December election almost at hand, who will win the election remains to be seen.

  • NPP’s Kojo Oppong-Nkrumah makes misleading claims about Mahama

    Ghana’s Works and Housing minister, Kojo Oppong-Nkrumah, has urged the electorate to retain the country’s governing New Patriotic Party (NPP) in the December polls.

    The lawmaker said John Mahama, the ex-Ghanaian leader and the 2024 flagbearer of the country’s opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC), did not deserve another chance because he had ruined the economy.

    “During President Mahama’s tenure four years as President, actually four and a half years, he reduced growth from the 9% that he took down to about 3.4%… When Akufo-Addo and Bawumia assumed office, we moved growth from 3.4% to about 8.5% in the very first 12 months,” Mr Oppong-Nkrumah said.

    See minutes 12:07 to 12:26 of the video posted on YouTube for the minister’s comment about Mr Mahama.

    The social media data revealed that the video was viewed over 14,213 times as of Nov. 27, 2024.

    DUBAWA has fact-checked the legislator’s claims about the country’s former President.

    Claim 1: Kojo Oppong-Nkrumah, Ghana’s Housing minister, claimed John Mahama, the ex-Ghanaian President and 2024 NDC flagbearer, reduced the country’s economic growth rate from the 9% he inherited to 3.4% at the end of Dec. 2016.

    Verdict: Misleading. DUBAWA’s investigations showed that the ex-Ghanaian leader John Mahama did not leave a 3.4% economic growth rate, as the lawmaker alleged. The Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) data published in 2017 and 2018 revealed the country’s economic growth rate in 2016 was 3.7%, not 3.4%.

    Verification

    DUBAWA’s research showed that the ex-Ghanaian leader John Mahama did not leave a 3.4% economic growth rate, as the lawmaker alleged.

    The Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) data published in 2017 and 2018 revealed the country’s economic growth rate in 2016 was 3.7%, not 3.4%.

    DUBAWA’s investigation shows that the economic growth rate was 3.4% in 2016. However, World Bank data confirmed that it changed to 3.7% after rebasing the economy.

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has defined rebasing as “the process by which constant price aggregates are updated using the prices of a more recent period.”

    In April 2018, the GSS said the “Provisional GDP estimates for 2017 showed a growth rate of 8.5 per cent compared to 3.7 per cent in 2016.”

    See paragraph 4 of page 3 of the GSS report titled ‘Provisional 2017 Annual Gross Domestic Product’ here.

    Also, in the Sept. 2017 edition of the GSS report on Ghana’s economy, the body said the “Revised GDP estimates for 2016 showed a growth rate of 3.7 per cent compared to 3.8 per cent in 2015.”

    See paragraph 4 of page 3 of the GSS report dubbed ‘Revised 2016 Annual Gross Domestic Product’ here.

    Conclusion

    Ex-Ghanaian leader John Mahama left a 3.7% economic growth rate in Dec. 2016, not 3.4% as the legislator alleged.

    Claim 2: Kojo Oppong-Nkrumah, Ghana’s Housing minister, claimed President Nana Akufo-Addo moved the country’s economic growth rate from the 3.4% he inherited to about 8.5% in the first 12 months.

    Verdict: False. DUBAWA’s probe showed President Nana Akufo-Addo did not grow Ghana’s economy from a 3.4% growth rate in 2016 to 8.5% in 2017, as the minister alleged. The Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) data published in 2019 revealed the country’s economic growth rate was 8.1% in 2017, not 8.5%. Also, World Bank data has confirmed that Ghana’s economic growth rate was 8.1% in 2017, not 8.5%.

    Verification

    DUBAWA’s probe showed President Nana Akufo-Addo did not grow Ghana’s economy from a 3.4% growth rate to 8.5% within 12 months, as the minister alleged.

    The Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) data published in 2019 revealed the country’s economic growth rate was 8.1% in 2017, not 8.5%.

    In its April 2019 report, the GSS said the “Provisional GDP estimates for 2018 showed a growth rate of 6.3 per cent compared to 8.1 per cent in 2017.”

    See paragraph 4 of page 3 of the GSS report dubbed ‘Rebased 2013-2018 Annual Gross Domestic Product’ here.

    Also, World Bank data has confirmed that Ghana’s economic growth rate was 8.1% in 2017, not 8.5%.

    Conclusion

    President Nana Akufo-Addo did not grow Ghana’s economy from a 3.4% growth rate in 2016 to 8.5% in 2017, as the minister alleged.

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